America Is Already Great! However, We Still
Have Much Work to Do
By Michael Smook
(A.) Preface:
This essay was written before the Republican and Democrat
National Conventions. It will be posted shortly as an Internet – Blog several
months prior to the November (’16) national elections. It is my hope that most
of what I have written will remain relevant once a new President and Congress
are ready to go to work early next year.
The political process we are going through now in the United
State can be contentious and painful at times. However, life-in general and in-particular
the political process involving a democratically-government are not for the faint-hearted. However, at its best,
politics is the art of the possible. That’s why I am hopeful for the future.
(B.) Introduction:
There is a politician who has been telling the American
people for some time that he will “Make
America Great Again!” and that you should vote for him for President of the
United States in the upcoming election in order to fix what he considers to be
what’s wrong with our country. With the recent terrorist attacks in the United
States, Europe and Asia and the Brexit vote in favor of the United Kingdom
leaving the European Union (EU) trading block, this politician thrives on
adverse circumstances and is trying to instill fear in American voters who
might be persuaded to vote for a modern BT Barnum who seems to arrive at easy
answers and has no tolerance of any kind of contrary opinions.
On a good day, he is angry, antagonistic, caustic, abrasive
and vindictive. It seems that the term, emotional
intelligence, left him some time ago. He also wants to build a wall along
the border of one our largest trading partners, threaten United States
companies who relocate to this neighboring country and impose tariffs on
imports our largest trading partners. Without much thought, he’s stated a
preference once about America paying off our national debt at fifty cents on
the dollar. Many economists believe that such unorthodox actions could cause
collateral damage causing a world-wide recession. Also, the outcome of this
misadventure could undo our nation’s two hundred forty years of
credit-worthiness. Let’s all take a collective deep breath and think things
through together.
In this essay, I will outline next steps we can take
together in order to improve our country by expanding and strengthening the middle
class through rebuilding infrastructure and expanding trade with other nations
so we can all grow and prosper together. In addition, I want to take this
opportunity to write about the need in the United States for building bridges
across the ideological divide. America needs to be engaged in a world in an
ongoing, methodical and sustainable way enabled by policies in a world where
commerce from nation-states continues to be rapidly integrated.
Seeking easy answers and making false choices is a serious
mistake. Also, more talk about demonizing more than one and a half billion
people of a particular monotheistic religious faith who are neither Christians
nor Jews is another and more specific false choice. At the end of this essay
and the timeframe we are working through, I am hopeful that we will start to make
the right decisions based upon enlighten self-interest and not out-of-fear. As the
late-Abraham Lincoln might say at this time, we need to channel, “The better angels of our nature.”
(C.) America Is
Relatively Prosperous, But Many Do Not Feel It: Where Do We Go from Here?
America is arguably the greatest country in the world. I say
arguably because I haven’t lived elsewhere. Even if we are the second greatest
nation, we have much to be thankful for. America is a unified country of
approximately three hundred twenty-three million people. We represent 5% of the
earth’s population and 25% of its economic output. America’s farming production
is the bread-basket to the world even though its farmers are a small percentage
of the work force. Our cutting-edge information technology (IT) products,
pharmaceutical industry and entertainment companies possess a brand which is
the envy among all nations including our allies and competitors.
The remainder of the world which encompasses 95% of our
planet’s population and looks to America’s involvement in so many ways including
diplomatically, politically, economically, culturally as well as for our
intelligence and military prowess. Also, America is a land of opportunity and of
possibilities to many non-Americans. Even our adversaries look to engage America
to ensure peace and prosperity. Our nation’s White House, Capitol Hill
Congressional Building as well as The Statue of Liberty along with our Grand
Canyon, Mount Rushmore and bucolic national parks represent buildings, statues
and natural beauty which are symbolic of these ideals.
Many people from developing countries want to come to
America work, live and create a new life on their own or with their families where
the freedom of religion, speech, political affiliation and freedom of speech are
guaranteed by our constitution. I believe that our country is an imperfect and
ongoing experiment as we all strive for a better, kinder and gentler world
where we work to expand and strengthen the middle class for those citizens who
have been left behind and are struggling.
It makes logical sense that if more citizens benefit from a
system with greater equity, opportunity and justice (market and social), there
will be greater social harmony and a measure of happiness. In order to move in
this direction, I believe that policies should adhere to a utilitarian
principle to benefit the greatest good for the greatest number as the correct default
to lean towards in public policy.
As stated in a previous blog articles, I believe that the
market system which represents 75% of our economy even at its most robust does not help many of those that
are left behind. In a presidential election year, we need to take stock of the
good that has taken place since the founding of the United States as well as especially
what’s been accomplished in the past 10-20 years.
I often think of the words of George Santayana who once
said, “Those who cannot remember the past
are condemned to repeat it.” This sentence represents a challenge and an
opportunity. The tricky part is that there can be an ongoing argument as to how
to interpret history so that our country can move ahead. Now, we are in a time
of a seven-year economic recovery. Many Americans feel left out which is why so
many people voted for Trump and Sanders in the Republican and Democrat
Presidential Primaries. The major question voters are asking is, “Where do we go from here?”
My thinking about why many primary voters are unhappy
wanders in more than one direction. First, the Great Recession of 2008-09 which
President Obama inherited could have been far worse. In 2016, the President and
Democrats do not get much credit even from supporters for saving our nation
from financial ruin. I presume that in the future, historians will give him
high marks for how he handled this situation. But at this time, many of the
voters today seem to feel uncomfortable about the economy and sense social
disharmony.
With the upcoming election, I’m also thinking that
President’s legacy and the 2016 election is something to build on but not a
referendum for the status quo. The American people are calling for change and
the candidates running for president are listening. Possible answers to the
question of which direction should change take place and how do we go about
this will be covered in this essay.
(D.) The Most Consequential
Election in Our Nation’s History in 1864 Affects Us Even Today
In order to discuss the present and look to the future, it’s
very helpful to write about our most consequential election in American history
which was one hundred and fifty-two years ago in 1864. If not for the political
leadership of a war-time President, Abraham Lincoln, and the effective efforts
of his generals, Grant, Sherman and Sheridan, as strategists and battlefield commanders
and the brave fighting and sacrifices of our federal soldiers and sailors,
George McClellan, a failed general and the Democrat candidate for President, would
have won the election, sued for peace with the south and the United States
would have been divided into two or more countries. So arguably our greatest
president, Abraham Lincoln, could have easily been a failed or minor
presidency. And, how the world may have been changed many years ahead by World
Wars (I and II) and the Cold War is open to debate by historians, pundits and
fiction writers?
In those days, there was no polling. Prior the unions’
successful efforts in August and September of 1984, many newspapers throughout
the union were reporting that the war was a failure, our generals were
butchers, our union soldiers and sailors were ineffective and our president was
clueless and feckless. It was at this point, our President was able turn
history around in the right direction by appointing generals who knew how to
effectively wage a new kind of war on a large scale with conventional armies
and navies and with the required logistics to supply our brave fighters with
the latest state-of-the-art weapons and materials necessary to be decisively victorious.
These efforts were greatly assisted by the north’s great industrial
might and by effective efforts by Lincoln’s Secretaries of War, Edwin Stanton,
and the Navy, Gideon Welles, who were able to supply our soldiers and sailors
with the means to be successful. And in addition, let’s not forget the men and
women who stayed behind to work in the factories and the farms in order to produce
the required goods and to grow the crops in order to feed our fighters, raise
and educate their children and the women who worked on the battle fields as
tireless nurses.
In this war, the margin between victory and defeat was
narrow. It was not preordained that the north was going to automatically win
this war and unify our nation. This war reflects unfinished business not reconciled
during the American Revolution where states with and without slaves were both permitted
to be part of our new nation. The politics of the first eighty-five years of
American history were in summary an unsuccessful attempt to reconcile these
differences.
Many Americans have unfortunately at times taken the past efforts
to unify our nation for granted because this history has been largely forgotten.
The relevancy of the Civil War as a major turning point in American history is still
important even today. If we now hope to go on to discuss the present economic,
social and political situation in the United States today, we need to understand
how the past sped American history on a certain trajectory.
All is not lost. There still are opportunities to change our
country for the better. That’s why I hope that we can wisely chart a course to
ensure America’s growth and prosperity. I wouldn’t be writing this essay if I
did not believe that step-by-step progressive change was possible.
(E.) After Effects of
the War Between the States:
After the Civil War, the southern states were permitted to rejoin
the United States. Thus, the country was now unified. The slaves were given
freedom from their political and legal status and male slaves were given the
right to vote. However, after twelve years of a period known as Reconstruction,
things changed significantly for the worse.
During this time, a masked vigilante group known as the Klu Klux Klan
(KKK) primarily composed of former Confederate officers and enlisted men launched
a lawless reign of terror against Blacks in the south and border states and
were permitted to get away with criminal acts of murder and destruction of
property by local authorities. The KKK was able to be so bold, unlawful,
immoral and audacious because the federal government pulled its troops out of
the south now that supposed normalization took place. No legal authority was
deputized by authorities at different levels of government to effectively stop
the KKK after Reconstruction ended.
From the end of Reconstruction and over the next ninety
years, southern states implemented a policy of separate but equal which is often referred to as The Jim Crow Laws. Thus, many Black
Americans were treated as second class citizens and relegated to work as tenant
farmers on land in the rural south that were once plantations. They were no
longer physically enslaved, but instead they remain economic slaves. The United
States Supreme Court in one of its worst decisions endorsed these policies through
its Plessy Vs Ferguson decision. Southern state and local governments found
ways to greatly minimize the Black vote at the ballot box through physical
intimidation, literacy tests and poll taxes. With power devolving from the federal
government to the states, a case can be made which articulates that although
the north won the war and preserved our nation’s union, the south won the peace
at least for the next ninety years.
In the 1960s, we saw some change for the better with the
federal government passing laws known as the Voting Rights and Civil Rights
Acts of 1964 and 1965. These new laws
were reinforced by the Equal Protection and Due Process Clauses of the 14th
Amendment which were passed into law following the Civil War but never
effectively implemented until a century later.
The assassination of President John F. Kennedy (JFK) served as a
catalyst along with the civil rights movement lead by Martin Luther King, Jr.,
which was assisted by the agenda of the new President, Lyndon B. Johnson (LBJ).
Johnson was originally a Senator from Texas before he moved onto Washington, DC,
as Vice President and later President. Both of these men, Johnson and King,
were the principal agents of change which made this legislation possible.
In the 1960s, we saw a new breed of more open minded and
progressive southern governors elected into office such as Jimmy Carter in the
1960s and 70s and Bill Clinton in the 1980s and 90s. During this timeframe,
separate but equal was gradually eliminated and Blacks were able to vote in
greater numbers. In the new twenty first century, the social disharmony erupted
with increasing frequency reflected in incidents between police (both Black and
White) and Black citizens throughout our nation in Minnesota, Maryland, Texas
and Missouri. These incidents represent a sense to me that there is unfinished business going back to the
time of the civil war and hundreds of years before then.
In my way of thinking, part of this problem requires a
balancing in the change in policies requiring an improvement in the economic
lives of Black citizens as well as all American citizens. I believe that I can
say with an honest conviction that both Black-Lives-Matter and All-Lives-Matter.
I think that one of the issues that will continue to be discussed now that we
have presumptive nominees of both the Democrat and Republic Party is a plan to
legislate a jobs bill and greater federal funding of trade schools and public
colleges. It is politically a good idea to unify all people behind an employment
opportunities program. This initiative cannot be viewed as a bill favoring any
one particular group. It must be seen as “An
American Rebuilding Project” which revitalizes our country, education
citizenry and puts people back to work.
I do not presume that an economic approach will resolve all
of the aftereffects of hundreds of years of slavery, the civil war and all the
rest. However, I believe, it’s an effective start. Borrowing from an old Chinese proverb, I
recall the following. If we are embarked on a journey of a thousand miles, we
need to start with the first step.
(F.) Some Voters Are
Angry and What Two Politicians Are Advocating About in Their “Stump” Speeches:
The numbers which reflect the past seven years of recovery look
good in terms of a reduction of the nation’s unemployment rate, a declining annual
federal budget deficit, the strength of the United States dollar, a cost reduction
of gasoline per gallon at the pump and a successful (bull) stock market on Wall
Street all reflects good news. Some of
the policies offered by the Presidential candidates are false choices which may
seem popular and are directed towards anxious and eager voters who are open to
listening about a quick fix.
The Republican presumptive nominee, Donald J. Trump, a
self-proclaimed billionaire paradoxically remains popular with white,
non-Hispanic, non-college educated voters who want to build a wall along the
US-Mexican border and ask the Mexicans to pay for it. Secondly, he wants to
deport twelve million undocumented immigrants who remain in legal limbo because
the federal government has been hindered by inaction of the Congress and the judgement
of the United States Supreme Court in its recent decision. Thirdly, Trump seems
to feel that he can enforce tariffs on Chinese made goods shipped to the United
States for trade without any adverse repercussions between both countries. In
addition, Trump believes that a large tax cut is a good idea to stimulate the
economy even though many economists believe that Trump’s Plan will explode the
annual budget deficit by an additional ten trillion dollars over the next ten
years.
Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont who is very popular with
young voters and wants to break up the banks who he blames as having ripped-off
the American people. Secondly, Sanders wants to roll back the Affordable Care
Act also known as Obamacare by possibly improving it or replacing it with
Medicare. Thirdly, Mr. Sanders wants to make public college available at no-cost
to all Americans. In addition, Senator Sanders wants all Americans to have a
livable minimal wage at fifteen dollars per hour. What Sanders would be able to
accomplish as President if Republicans retain one or both houses of Congress is
open to question?
(G.) The “Big Lie
Theory” and “The Tyranny of the Majority” Can Cause Terrible Excesses in a
Democracy:
Some voters are angry, fearful and want change. In a
symbolic sense, it feels like the voters are being treated like hungry animals
and the politicians in their speeches and proposals are throwing words and ideas
which is symbolic “red or raw meat” to them. Some politicians can feel voter uncertainty,
anxiousness and are exploiting it to their advantage. Americans are not being
asked to pull together for a sense of shared sacrifice. One politician promises
tax cuts which we might not be able to afford. Another promises benefits
without specifying how to pay for them. The politicians I am thinking of are
not asking for additional sacrifice from the voters who can contribute in a way
similar to John F. Kennedy’s vision. JFK said in his inaugural address, “Ask not what your country can do for you,
ask what you can do for your country.” Is both a combination of patriotism
and self-sacrifice now passé?
I think that Bernie Sanders can be a force for good. However,
I don’t agree with everything that Sanders stands for and he can be a little over the top and shrill in his
rhetoric. But, he is not a threat to
the American way of life. However, I’m getting a bad feeling about Trump and
shortly, I’ll explain why.
I know that this process although part of our democratic
election campaign where the people decide seems to be borrowing from
authoritarian government’s use of “The Big
Lie Theory”. What this thinking is about is that if you use mass
communication technology and tell a lie often and convincing enough with
distorted information falsely attributed to be facts which are at best
misinformation but at worst lies, people will eventually accept it as the truth.
What some politicians are doing is playing upon people’s fears and desires for
quick painless fixes.
Coupled with “The Big
Lie Theory” is another idea known as “The
Tyranny of the Majority”. Alexis de
Tocqueville was a politician, diplomat and scholar who visited the United
States in the 1820s and 30s. In his travels, de Tocqueville observed and later
wrote in, “Democracy in America”, that
people in a democracy sometimes do not act in the responsible way and made life
difficult for other people who may be hold a differing and minority
point-of-view. Thus, an uncompromising and unforgiving majority or a plurality
of citizens can make life difficult for a minority which holds contrary
points-of-view.
The most glaring example of the combining of “The Big Lie Theory” and “The Tyranny of the Majority” occurred
in American history during the McCarthy era. Senator Joseph McCarthy, the
junior senator from Wisconsin, in the late 1940s through the mid-1950s misused
his power in the United State Senate because he claimed on television, radio
and through newspapers and magazines and the Senate floor that the United
States’ State Department was riddled with communists in a world-wide
international conspiracy to cause a revolution to overturn our democratically elected
government. These American citizens where thought to be agents of a foreign
government, the Soviet Union, who were frequently referred to as “fellow travelers”, “fifth columnists” or “traitors”.
During this timeframe in the other chamber of Congress, the House
of Representatives, through its House on Un-Americans Activities (HUAC) Committee
focused on the entertainment industry, specifically Hollywood, and interviewed Studio
Heads, Producers, Directors, Screen Writers and Actors. One particular group who
resisted Congresses bullying became known as the “The Hollywood Ten” . These American citizens were compelled to name names of people who may have once belonged
to organizations who this committee identified as being members of subversive or
communist groups who were considered to be a threat to our nation’s way-of-life.
At great risk to their careers and sources of income, some people fought back
stating that they were loyal Americans but refused to comply with Congresses’
misuse of its power citing their constitutional protection under the First
Amendment’s “Freedom of Speech” provision.
In one poignant moment, during a Congressional Inquisition, a
famed Academy Award winning screen writer,
Ring Lardner, Jr., said in defiance of the committee, “I could answer your question and tell you exactly you what you want to
know. But if I did, I would hate myself in the morning”. Lardner did serve
nearly ten months in prison for contempt of Congress. In order to find work and
circumvent the blacklist, Lardner had to relocate to Mexico, New York and Great
Britain under a different name in order to find work in exchange for reduced
compensation until the blacklist was lifted and he was able to return to career
in Hollywood.
In retrospect, Lardner and his contemporaries did not commit
a crime. They were persecuted. These
individuals were loyal American citizens as well as symbols and victim of
America at its worst. In particular, Lardner suffered in different ways for a
long period of time. However, he eventually rejoined Hollywood working in
America without compromising his principles and was rewarded for this
outstanding screen writing with a second Academy Award for his screen writing.
After the HUAC Committee Hearings, Joseph McCarthy emerged. McCarthy
had the power to subpoena witnesses to testify under oath of law. But, he was
also a symbol and catalyst for negative change. The excuse for loyalty oaths for
law abiding citizens and terminating people from their jobs without cause had
to do with a climate of fear which spread throughout our nation relating to Soviet
Union domination over Central Europe following WWII and the loss of six hundred
million Chinese to the communists in a civil war half way around the world in
1949. On the home front, adding to the public’s fear was the publicity caused
by two American citizens, Ethel and Julius Rosenberg, who were tried, convicted
and executed for selling America’s nuclear secrets to the Soviets.
For a period of time, McCarthy gained power because the
American people were afraid and many Americans were quietly supportive of his
efforts. Eventually, the American people and the politicians in Washington, DC,
came to their senses. McCarthy lost power, shortly started to fade from history
and unfortunately soon passed away.
(H.) False Choices
Which May Sound Good to Some but May Also Cause Problems:
Bernie Sanders in his stump speech frequently criticizes the
big banks as ripping off citizens with loyalty only to profits through Wall
Street and working against the powerless represented as Main Street. In interviews
over many months, I have noted that Sanders has not commented whether he feels
that the Obama Administration’s Dodd-Frank legislation and newly created Consumer
Protection Board have adequately reigned in Wall Street and the banks too big
to fail since the 2008/09 recession. Nor has Senator Sanders explained in
detail how he will break up the big banks and how this change in America’s financial
services industry will ensure prosperity of our overall national economy and
individual lives?
In addition, Sanders talks about major changes in the
Affordable Care Act. Sanders wants an expansion in universal health care. He
also calls for universal public college education paid for by the federal
government. Sanders has not explained how these major pieces of social legislation
will be paid for? Perhaps his answer is to “Tax
the banks?” Sanders has not explained whether his agenda will or will not increase
the federal government’s annual budget deficit nor its effect on the national
economy. He has also not explained what he will do if he were to win the
Democrat nomination and the United States Congress remains under a Republican
majority?
Trump temporarily has rewritten the “play-book” on running for President at least as a Republican. It
seems everything conventional politics says, “not-to-do”, Trump is doing. He has insulted Women, Muslims and
Mexicans. With primary voters, this way of running his campaign hasn’t hindered
him yet. It all seems counter-intuitive.
However, if you believe the national polls, it looks like the presidential race
will be close. Hilary Clinton who will Donald Trump’s opponent has polled high
negative numbers by many likely voters exceeded only by Trump which seems give
her a slight edge at least for now.
It seems to me that Trump has been successful thus far in
conveying a message whereby he states that other trading partners weren’t playing
fair and that unless terms are renegotiated favorably to the United States, he
would have the United States bluff walking out and thus jeopardize long
standing economic, diplomatic, political, military, environmental and
intelligence understandings. By merging his stump speech about international
trade supposedly affecting the United States economy in an adverse sort of way,
Trump criticizes national economic policy between America, other countries and long
standing trade agreements. As part of his speeches and ad-hoc comments when talking
about international commerce, Trump also uses nativist rhetoric about
untrustworthy fifth columnists that are the undoing of America.
Many of Trump’s suggestions are impractical and might have
unintended consequences. Trump talks about deporting twelve million undocumented
immigrants. Many of these residents are from Mexico. I do not see their stay as
harm to the American economy. I believe that attempting to try to deport these
undocumented immigrants en-masse if it were possible would be a disruptive measure
and might have unintended consequences for starters in the service,
construction and agricultural industries.
Further discussion about strengthening our borders and
revising immigration policy is certainly an acceptable topic of conversation and
part of the continuing conversation in American politics and government.
However, political consensus about realistically creating a legal pathway to
worker permits, residencies &/or citizenship requires a serious ongoing
conversation, some compromise and realistic and workable options.
At the same time Trump calls for unrealistic mass
deportations, he also campaigns about Mexican rapists and criminals coming
across our borders. His rhetoric amounts to outright slander and scare tactics
which bring out the worst in politics and the voters who choose to side with
Trump’s false choices. The campaign pledge to build a wall between Mexico and
the United States further inflames the rhetoric and is not conducive to productive
negotiations with our Mexican neighbor. The demonizing of Mexicans is an
attempt to try to make political points and re-engineer or possibly destroy the
North American Free Trade (NAFTA) Agreement between the United States, Mexico and
Canada.
The recent uproar by especially Indiana voters over the
announcement that The Carrier Air Conditioning Company was planning to leave the
State of Indiana and the United States for Mexico to restart its manufacturing
operations is an unfortunate part of America’s trade relations with Mexico and
our free market capitalistic system. America’s population is more than two
hundred million citizens larger than Mexico. The US economy is more than fifteen
times greater than Mexico. The fifty billion dollar US trade deficit with
Mexico is an abstraction. Americans for example come out ahead when Ford
automobiles are assembled in Mexico instead of the United States.
If voters are looking for a greater effort from the government
to make a difference that’s okay for those who have strong feelings and
opinions and then want to direct their energies to the federal government to
provide assistance. However, talking
about punishing Mexico is a false approach to managing the United States
relations with Mexico. I have an answer
to the wrong-headed Trump policies which the Republican nominee proposes which
I’ll discuss with you shortly.
I believe in the marketplace, but it cannot solve all of
society’s social problems. Sometimes, capitalism falls short of meeting
people’s needs and causes pain to citizens. With the economic system we live
within, there are winners and losers. That’s the way the system works. However,
if we fall short of a broad-based prosperity in the marketplace, I think that effective governmental action can help
make the difference by creating an atmosphere of equity, opportunity and
justice.
(I.) How Can America
Make Better Choices?
The American free market capitalist system is the envy of
the world. What are the largest companies in the world who are also based in
America which are relatively new and which are changing the way commerce is
conducted throughout the world? I’m thinking about Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Uber,
Twitter, Netflix, Drop-Box, Hulu, Tesla Motors/Space X and Microsoft for
starters. In addition to IT, we are strong in pharmaceuticals, medicine,
transportation, financial services and much more. The private and the
non-profit sectors comprise 75% of America’s economy. In terms of gross domestic
product (GDP) which is tabulating the total cost of goods and services
generated within a country during a calendar year, the United States economy is
far larger than China’s and yet China’s total population is four times larger
than the United States.
I don’t think that we can solely rely on the private sector
to ensure continue economic growth as well as expanding and strengthening the
middle class to give people greater equity, opportunity and justice. Heroic and
supplemental governmental efforts may not change the hearts and minds of
people? However, if more Americans feel that they have a stake in the system,
we will be able to minimize disharmony, rebuild America and start the process
of enhancing greater cohesiveness even between people who disagree in terms of
politics and economics.
I believe that the next President should outline what
categories of infrastructure projects can be initiated during the first
administration over a four-year timeframe.
For starters, I’m thinking that it’s in America’s best interests to
start rebuilding and repairing roads, bridges, sewage and water systems.
Additional infrastructure initiatives could also include the nationwide
electrical grid, mass transportation, internet band-width and energy. We need
to collectively lean forward, listen closely and pull together to ensure that
our country has a plan to energize the economy and at times I see government’s partnering
with the private sector.
In the twentieth century, it was the federal government which
in terms of job growth and affordable energy creation was able to build the
Hoover Dam, the Tennessee Valley (TVA) Authority, the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve and provide tax incentives to help grow businesses including renewable
energy (solar energy and wind farms). If the United States wishes to remain the
last best hope for the world not just over the next few decades, but over the
next one, two or three hundred years, it needs to remain focused on its
economic health as well as to be prepared to reduce the potentially adverse after
effects of climate change by focusing on newly required and important green technologies.
If America retains its fiscal prowess, everything good which we stand will flow
from that.
I think that what we are talking about is enlightened shared
or self-interest. There will be good times and challenging times. I’m
channeling my inner-biblical, Old Testament, Joseph who was imprisoned in Egypt
and perhaps destined remain incarcerated for his lifetime or to be executed?
Instead when told of the Pharaoh’s challenging dreams about seven fat cows and
seven lean cows, Joseph was given an opportunity to meet with this empire’s
supreme leader. Joseph advised the
Pharaoh to prepare his kingdom for future famine. In his response, the Pharaoh
made Joseph his Prime Minister and together they were able to direct the people
to store sufficient food for the times in which famine challenged the land of
Egypt. Moving from times of antiquity to modern history, economics and all the
rest, what we know is that even in countries with the most robust economies and
the best financial plans we will still face times of recession.
I believe that effective governmental action can help
maximize growth which is ongoing, sustainable and environmentally sound. In borrowing
from the words of Ben Franklin, “We
either hang together or surely we will hang separately.” What we strive for
where I work, we can also wish for our entire country. At my job, we say, it’s
all about teamwork and communication. I believe that the same philosophy applies to the
United States.
It’s often been said that, “Charity begins at home.” It’s understandable that many individuals
and families are challenged enough in their lives whereby finding a good paying
job and maintaining it, buying a home, parenting children through adulthood, going
on an occasional vacation and saving for our children’s college and retirement
keeps us busy enough. Perhaps if people are more prosperous, they will take a
greater interest in the world around them with our country engaged in economic
trading alliances as well as taking an interest in political, social and
diplomatic relations with 95% of the world which is not American?
Someone near and dear to me once asked me, “Why should I care with what’s going on in
the world?” I gave a quick and simple reply which is I think is truthful,
helpful, succinct and on target. I said, “Well
if the President implements a great economic plan with good fortune, we will
see our retirement funds tied in with Wall Street continue to grow. We might
also see lower inflation so that our income will buy more of the things we need
to live our lives.” I also said that in a similar way, the chief executive
in charge of operating the municipal government we both work for (our Mayor) will
benefit us if he does a good job and with some good luck in terms of the
quality of the life we live. Lastly under these circumstances, we might receive
timelier cost of living raises? So, I can envision that initiatives at the
federal, state and local levels, the public sector, can help make a difference.
(J.) Before We Can
Understand the World Today, We First Need to Look at The Past Following WW II:
After ISIS emerged with attacks against civilian targets in
Belgium and France later killing many innocent people in the United States,
Africa and throughout Asia, a friend first called me on the phone and asked me,
“What should we do?” I said America
should not act impulsively and at the same time that the United States and its
allies might continue to be engaged in countering this threat for some time. I
added that we need to think comprehensively and collaboratively with policies
involving economic, political and diplomatic, intelligence and military
alliances in a similar way that we managed competition and at times war in
response to the world-wide communist insurgency during a period of time known
as The Cold War.
For example, shortly after the end of World War II, both
Greece and Turkey were both faced with communist aggression both from within
and from outside its borders which threatened to overthrow the existing
governments. As an interim measure, the United Stated provided military aid in
the form of weapons to our friends and allies. This policy was referred to as “The Truman Doctrine”. In addition, the
United States decided to offer economic aid to help Western European allies to
prevent mass starvation and to help get devastated industries off the ground so
that they could be rebuilt because of the destruction caused by WWII. This initiative was referred to as “The Marshall Plan” after America’s
Secretary of State George Marshall. On a
short term basis, these polices were effective.
Shortly thereafter, it became apparent that the competition
between the United States and its allies to protect its citizenry with new and
enhanced policies and programs in order to engage our adversaries on an
extended basis. A major influence on how to use American power was outlined in
an essay in the 1940s post-WWII which advocated by a man who was an intellectual,
an academic, a statesman and a diplomat. His name was George Kennan. Kennan
believed that western democracies could best engage the communists by what
became known as the “Containment Theory”.
This overriding principle advocated that the West needed to counter the Soviet
and their allies not in only military and intelligence terms but through
economic programs as well as politics and diplomacy.
At the same time, the
United States helped create a military alliance with our allies which included
the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany and other western industrialized nations.
This military alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty (NATO) Organization, was
created to counter the Soviets’ Warsaw Pact military alliance which included
Central European communist countries. NATO helped keep the peace in the
European continent and ensured the absence of conflict in this part of the
world. As a Roman Military History once wrote, “If you come in peace, prepare for war.” We did prepare our allies
and our homeland and it worked in a competition against our competitors and
adversaries.
The United States
also encouraged our European allies to join together as an economic alliance to
become the United States of Europe. First through trade agreements and then the
establishment of a European Union, institutions were created which helped
strengthen Western European nations as a block while still retaining each nation’s
individual identity and independence. Over time, this transition eventually led
to the inclusion of Central European nations who no longer were subject to Russian
domination and communism. Most recently, we have seen the introduction of a
common currency known as “The Euro”
replacing each EU nations’ local currency.
The United States also played a major role in creating financial
institutions known as The World Bank and a second source of economic assistance
known as the International Monetary (IMF) Fund. The IMF which is usually
directed by a European was created primarily to help western democracies strengthen
their economies. The IMF specializes in statistical analyses, currency exchange
rate issues, budgetary matters and now short term loans to developing nations.
The World Bank who’s director is appointed by the United
States was established to provide targeted aid in the form of loans to new,
non-aligned, nations known as the developing world or third world nations. The
idea behind creating these sources of economic aid was that the international communist
insurgency might sound seductive to some western industrialized and many new
nations. These developing world countries were once colonies of western
democracies and counter-measures were needed by the US to ensure alliances with
new neutral nations by promoting economic growth in a capitalist system where
political leaders could come to power in new nations through democratic
elections.
In the timeframe post WW II, the United States, its allies
and the United Nations, worked to ensure that these new nations would be
directed toward economic growth through the green revolution in food production.
World Bank loans helped get new industries in the third world off-the- ground
helped enhance economic growth. Also, a new successful and popular policy of micro-loans
from local financial institutions was established to help raise many of its
citizens, by growing cottage industries, to transition families from extreme
poverty to poverty and eventual prosperity within developing nations.
The thinking was that by growing the economies of third
world nations with financial aid from the west, it would be possible to be able
to find a way to provide for individuals and families with housing, food,
clothing, education, health care and systems to ensure sustainable farming and
food production, clean drinking water and sewage treatment systems. With all
this in place, then peace in the developing world and the creation of new alliances
would be possible while successfully competing with communism. It was felt
under the “Containment Theory’ that this was a battle America could win.
Regarding my friend’s initial phone call and my comments in
the preceding paragraphs, I just gave my readers a more detailed answer of past
American actions to counter communism and protect the homeland and our allies
and to reach out to new nations. Now, the world has changed, over the past
50-60 years. In 2016 and in the future, it may now be necessary for new
thinking to fight this merging battle with ISIS and al-Qaeda with different
policies, programs and tactics? To try a new approach, may require new funding
and a revised overall plan channeling the kind of thinking which helped our
policy makers implement the original “The Containment Theory.”
(K.) The End of the
Cold War and The Multi-Polar World We Are Now Living In:
It been now twenty-five years since the Soviet Empire
disintegrated due to the fact that the Soviet economic model was inefficient,
unproductive and not competitive with the United States and the West. Parts of
the Soviet Empire on its southern tier have become independent and have maintained
both good relations with both the United States and the new nation now once
again called Russia. The Soviet’s Central European satellite nations have
withdrawn from the Warsaw Pact which no longer remains an arm of Soviet or
Russian military and economic might.
Countries like Poland and Hungry have paid-off massive national debts,
have robust private economic sectors which are part of the free-enterprise-system
and have joined Western Europeans in order to be part of the European Union
economic and trading block.
These former Soviet satellites, based upon hundreds of
years’ experiences, are fearful of Russia and readily want the United States to
follow through with confidence building measures. The United States through
NATO participates in war games with the involvement of Central European nations
and pre-positions tanks, other weapons and supplies within these nations and at
their request which is why many have joined this alliance. So, economic
prosperity, politics/diplomacy as well as military might and intelligence
capabilities go hand-in-hand in maintaining the new status quo on both sides of
the Atlantic Ocean and now within Central Europe.
(L.) Let’s Look at
the What’s Going On Now, Pull It All Together and Develop A Calm Rational Plan
to Manage America’s Place In the Post-Cold War:
In the post-Cold War digitalized world, the paradoxes and
complexities are ongoing. The world is getting smaller and smaller. Information
travels across the globe literally in seconds. In addition, our economies are
integrated and this interdependence creates the need for cooperation at the
same time there is competition. Everyone and that includes individuals as well
as nations and alliances have work to do because adjustments in these
ever-changing times must be made for the world to go forward and for the need
for enhanced growth and prosperity for all.
(L.1.) What Can the
United States Do to Manage Its Relationship with China?
Crises and challenges need to be looked at as much as
possible from a cost effective, historical, dispassionate and sustainable point
of view. Every country I can think of throughout our world has work to do. For
example, China which is now being talked about in the way that we looked at
Japan in the late 1970s and early 1980s is thought of to be an economic
powerhouse. When not too long ago, the
Chinese Shanghai Stock Market started to implode, those in the western press
took a more in-depth analysis of the Chinese Achilles Heel which is a euphemism for the Chinese systems’
weaknesses. With unprecedented growth in the Chinese economy, what I was
reading in Time Magazine was about the communist leadership’s underlying fear
that if the economy stopped its robust economic growth, how would people through
this country react?
Would an ongoing recession cause fissures in the social
harmony among those in power in the communist party, the government, the
private sector, the military, the intelligence community and in law enforcement
throughout the country at the local, regional and national levels? Would the
underlying agreement between those in power especially the communist party and
the private sector be jeopardized because of problematic social disharmony in
ways far greater than ever before and not easily answered by brutal suppression
such as the Tiananmen Square episode of thirty-five years ago?
We have our own share of challenges in the United States.
But as an American, I don’t envy what the Chinese face even with their often
robust economy. It seems to me that China needs to maintain ongoing economic
growth including the closing down of unprofitable businesses subsidized by the
central government’s national bank including the People’s Liberation Army (PLA)
while transitioning to greater freedom of expression and democracy, combating
global warming and moving on to clean energy technologies and facing a
population imbalance propelled by thirty-five years of the one child only rule.
In addition, a second demographic imbalance in China relates
to the fact that there are greater numbers of males to females resulting from a
social issue where newborn males are preferred over females. To compound this
problem, the use of modern technological capabilities through use of sonograms
and abortions allow some families to have the more highly prized males as their
one allotted child.
America is needed because of its national security interests
in its pivot to Asia through
projection of its navy as China continues to build aircraft carriers, create artificial
islands for deploying its air power, temporarily erecting oil drilling
platforms in Vietnam’s territorial waters to satisfy its need for energy
resources while enhancing Chinese presence in this region of the world. America
benefits from ongoing trade with our Pacific Ocean allies in Japan, South
Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, Canada and Latin America as well as trading
partners close-by in Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia and Singapore and a new
economic relationship with Vietnam.
I’m hopeful that in the lame-duck
Congress, this legislature approves Obama’s Trans-Pacific (TPP) Partnership
Trade Agreement will help America increase its economic engagement in this part
of the world. If there is room for compromise in environmental, legal and labor
provisions of this agreement which won’t undermine five or more years of
negotiations, then hopefully the Congress and the President hopefully can reach
an effective compromise.
China has also established a financial institution, The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,
that some economists believe will rival the World Bank and the IMF in its
importance. China may have created this institution because it will enhance its
world-wide political influence and economic power? It’s possible that China’s
leadership collectively felt left out of its participation with the World Bank
and the IMF? I think that the new President at some point in the first administration,
starting in 2017, should consider United States participation in the Chinese new
world-wide lending bank and also encourage Japanese to join us.
I think that it’s
better to be at the negotiating table and involved in managing the investment
bank’s policy, programs, contributions, collaboration and distribution of loans
and grants. The goal is not to win or beat China in some imaginary race. The
necessity is for America to meet its national security interests to enhance its
economic prosperity while at the same time managing its relationship with
China, cooperating with its allies and improving its relationship with a new
trading partner, Vietnam, which wants American engagement.
Although the North Korean nuclear issue at times feels like
an uncontrollable situation, it’s in the best interests of China, America and
other parties in the neighborhood to engage North Korea to restrain its hostile
and militaristic behavior. China is the one country with the greatest leverage
to control its neighbor and ally under new and untested leadership.
(L.2.) The Middle
East, Russia, the European Union/NATO, the United Kingdom and China Are All
Connected: How to Manage Problematic Situations and Move Forward to Beneficial and
Ongoing Outcomes:
The title of this section is rather ambitious. Shortly, I will
describe how the post-industrial world is all connected and how we in the
United States can move forward to beneficial outcomes. My goal is to provide my
readers with relevant information and insightful observations with an economy
of words. But before I do so, I want to tell you a sports metaphor that will
relate to what’s going on in the world today.
(L.3.) Ain’t We
Amazing? “It Was A Team Effort”:
In 1962, The New York Mets were permitted to enter major
league baseball’s National League as a new franchise team as a way for the City
of New York to be compensated for the 1958 loss of both the Brooklyn Dodgers
and the New York Giants in a move to the West Coast cities of Los Angeles and
San Francisco. In its first season, the Mets were without a stadium. Shea
Stadium and later Citi-Field were not yet built. So, the Mets rented space at
the former home of the now departed New York Giants at the Polo Grounds in
North Manhattan. In order to help the Mets off to a strong start, they hired
former New York Yankees manager, Casey Stengel, who had previously lead the
Yankees to seven World Series Championships and ten American League Pennant
teams over twelve seasons between 1949 and 1960 and he would eventually be
inducted to the Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, New York.
The Mets unfortunately had one of the worst regular season
records in modern baseball history in its first season in 1962. At the end of
the last game of the regular season, the starting pitcher Roger Craig
approached Casey Stengel in the team’s locker room and said, “I didn’t pitch
well today. I could have performed better. I let the team down.” With an
overall record of forty wins and one hundred and twenty loses, Stengel knew
that one outstanding game at the end of the long losing inaugural season game
was not going to change much. Stengel in order to assuage the concerns of his
starting pitcher and with a little bit of humor told Craig the following, “Don’t worry son. It’s not your fault. It
was a team effort.”
Within seven years, the Mets were able to perform a
near-miracle and greatly improve their ball club and in spectacular fashion
upset the highly favored Baltimore Orioles and won the prized World Series of
1969. To Mets fans throughout its home borough of Queens as well as all-over the
City and State of New York, this team was known to as “The Amazing Mets”. What I can tell you as a baseball fan, as an
observer of current events and history and an Internet-Blogger, I know a few
truths which I will share with you.
For example, I know
that things seem to stay the same in the world we live-in. However, in reality
they are almost always changing. I’m also aware that minor miracles are
possible. In addition, from time-to-time and when things work out in baseball
or in most other aspects of life, it frequently is a team effort which makes a difference. Lastly, let me simply state that
in most successful team-efforts chance
favors the well-prepared plan, team and individuals.
Finally, I caution my fellow Americans who may vote
differently than me, be careful what you wish for because with great power as
voters you may get what you want and then you might have to deal with
uncomfortable and unprofitable consequences. Lastly, I caution my readers to “Think Brexit.” Take a deep breath and
clear your mind and think again.
For example, if you were British, many of you may change your
mind, call for a do-over, vote again and then “Remain” in the EU. It may not be as exciting but it’s a better
arrangement for many nations and citizens (men or women on the street) and the
need for a greater good.
(L.4.) Let’s Take An Illuminating
But Concise Look at the Last Hundred Years in World History:
During the past one hundred years, the world has gone
through two hugely destructive World Wars (I and II), between the major
industrialized nations and the worlds most populated nation China and its
neighbors Japan, the Philippines, Taiwan and South Korea. Secondly after WWI,
Russia went through a revolution with the Communists, led by Bolsheviks’ also
known as the Red Army, winning against the Russian White Army and created a new
empire known as the Soviet Union. Under communist ideology, the Soviet Union
possessed a messianic vision of world
revolution and conquest under its merged political, military and economic
ideology.
The United States and its allies tried to counter these
efforts through the creation of the NATO military alliance and economic
agreements. Thirdly, China went through a civil war where the Communists
defeated the Nationalists who were led by an ineffective warlord who set up his
base of power and a new nation on the Island of Taiwan.
At the end of WWI, the Ottoman Empire led by the Turks
crumbled with the Arab nations reaching near independence with a temporary
British and French military and civilian authority filling of the power vacuum
as part of each nations colonial empire. The twenty-two Arab nations eventually
found full independence with some of these countries reaching great wealth
because of the world’s need for energy in particular oil. The twenty-two Arab
nations have overall fallen short as successful nations and now face
insurgences with two non-nation entities known as ISIS and al-Qaeda that
possess toxic philosophies, advanced through its war crimes falsely justified in
the name of Islam, the Prophet (Muhammed) and G-d (Allah) himself. Both groups
commit murder, rely on terror and now control parts of Iraq, Syria and Libya
which is largely financed from oil expropriated from Kirkuk, Iraq, and through
sham-charities operating throughout the Muslim World.
The predominant religion in this part of the world is Islam.
People who belong to this religion of 1.6 billion people are called Muslims. 85%
of all Muslims are members of a group who refer to themselves as Sunnis whose
holiest sites are in Saudi Arabia’s cities known as Mecca and Medina. The
remainder of the world’s Muslims call themselves Shiites with the largest
population in Persian Iran. When people in the United States and throughout the
west think of Muslims, they think of Arabs. But, only 20% of all Muslims are
Arabs. The most populated Muslim countries in the world are non-Arab nations
including Turkey, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria, the
Philippines, China and Russia.
Middle Eastern countries have had problems which have held
it back for a variety of reasons. First, the twenty-two independent Arab
nations have never really made a complete and successful change to democracy;
Secondly, those Arab nations even with great amounts of oil wealth have not yet
successfully made the transition to a post-industrial economy which has held the
Arab world back in terms of prosperity except of a few citizens. Thirdly in
many Arab societies, women have not been granted the same rights as men in
terms of education and jobs in the world of work. So by men not allowing women to fully participate,
Arab societies are unnecessarily eliminating half their adult brainpower and
limiting economic growth to those who could be most helpful. Lastly, the larger
Muslim world has been unable to reconcile differences between its two main
branches, Sunnis and Shiites, which has led to disharmony including warfare
between and within nations. All of the above have played a role in the problems
caused by the creation of al-Qaeda and ISIS and permitted these terrorist
organizations to grow.
(M.1.) Concluding
Thoughts - Part 1 -The Cold War and Post 9/11:
On September 11th, 2001, a terrible act of war
was committed against the United States by a group of twenty-one young men who
were al-Qaeda terrorists and succeeded in hijacking two airplanes fully loaded
with jet fuel and crashed each plane into the north and south towers of the
World Trade Center (WTC) which was located at a juxtaposition between the
center of municipal government and the financial center (Wall Street). Why did
a group affiliated within the Middle East attack the financial capital of the
United States (New York City) and attempt other attacks including at our
nation’s Pentagon which serves as the planning and operational control center
of America’s military and defense operations? The answer raised by these
questions has multiple answers and the solution(s) are elusive.
Approximately, 3,400 innocent people, mostly American
citizens, died on this day because one murderous group had a homicidal agenda
and a strong disagreement with the United States. I have cited several limitations
of the countries of the Middle East and the frustration of many citizens with
their governments’ inability to solve problems. In addition, the West including
Europe and the United States along with Russia have all played a role in
shaping the political and economic status of this area of Asia and Africa known
as the Middle East. Quoting from my sports metaphor and a Hall of Fame manager
and I agree that the problems of the Middle East, “Were a team effort.” So as we shortly conclude this essay, I am
not looking to affix the blame, I am seeking to help solve the problem.
For some time, especially from 1948 to 1967, many people
throughout the Middle East and the western industrialized world stated that the
core issue which needed to be resolved before peace could be established in
this part of the world was the Arab and Israel conflict. After Israel won the
Six Day War in biblical-like fashion, Jerusalem was controlled by the Israel
and the Kingdom of Jordan no longer ruled the West Bank. Israel now controlled
this land.
It was at that time, the Arab League changed responsibility
for future rulership of the West Bank bordering Israel to a non-nation group
known as the Palestinian Liberation (PLO) Organization. Therefore, in terms of
any future negotiation to end a conflict which was won by Israel in a defensive
war to save itself from destruction, Yasser Arafat leader of the PLO and not
King Hussein ruler of Jordan was empowered to have a seat at the negotiating
table.
Talks for a final peace treaty to end all conflicts came
breathtakingly close to being concluded in the year 2000 where the PLO’s Chairman
and now new Palestinian Authority President, Yasser Arafat, spoke with the
Israeli Prime Minister, Ehud Barak, with United States President, Bill Clinton,
serving as the moderator. From what I have read, it’s been recorded that Arafat
was able to achieve 90% of his demands being accommodated in negotiations but
he simply walked away. Since then despite subsequent attempts by new US
Presidents as well as Palestinian and Israeli leaders to reinvigorate the peace
process, these efforts have fallen far short of a comprehensive and permanent
peace treaty. To complicate matters even further, the Palestinian leaders has
been split in two and reconciliation between Hamas which rules the Gaza Strip
and the Palestinian Authority which is in control over the West Bank are still
enemies after an election and a civil war which resulted in a Hamas victory and
rule over Gaza.
The center-left peace camp led by Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni
in Israel has on repeated occasions narrowly lost parliamentary elections
because of its inability to find coalition partners to equal a majority in its
parliament (Knesset). The conservative, center-right, government led by Likud’s
Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has become more inflexible in its position.
From the present Israeli government’s perspective, its openness has been
exploited by the Arab side. For example, when Israel withdrew from Gaza, Hamas and
another group, Islamic Jihad, frequently directed rockets attacks against
Israel’s military and civilian population. Secondly, once Israel withdrew from
a twenty-mile swath of land in Lebanon south of this nation’s Litani River a
powerful local Shiite militia known as Hezbollah has launched rocket attacks
throughout Israel. Thirdly during this timeframe, the Palestinian leadership
turned a blind-eye to a leaderless revolt over Israeli rule of the West Bank
called the Intifada (I and II), Israel has temporarily suppressed these attacks.
However, there is no clear military winner and the ongoing conflict and
controversy continues between Arabs and Israel. Did the Arabs believe that
Israeli withdrawals from other territories’ show weakness? Perhaps?
For the purpose of this conversation, I will arguably state
that a turning point in modern Middle East history was (and is) Israel’s
victory in the Six Day War. In June of 1967, the Syrian, Jordanian and Egyptian
armies were an existential threat to Israel’s very survival by massing its
armies on Israel’s borders and attempting to surround Israel through a naval
blockade in both the Gulf of Aqaba and the Mediterranean Sea. Israel’s surprise
preemptive air strike led by its use of French Mirage jet fighter planes led to
an overwhelming victory. Since this war, Israel’s desire to hold on to the West
Bank stems from a strong national security and military priority. Secondly,
Israeli citizens have legally purchased land formerly owned by Arab (and Muslim)
Palestinians.
Israel has problems reconciling its challenging rule of the
West Bank. There are pluses and minuses to the current Israeli position. It is my
opinion that the minuses out-weigh the pluses. What I am about to advocate I
believe is the best way forward for both Israel and Arab nations.
In military terms, the West Bank gives Israel a comfortable
buffer in the event that a war breaks out. If a new and full-scale conflict were
to occur, the country could not easily be split in half if the Israeli military
withdrew to the pre-1967 war borders also referred to as “The Green Line”. There
is also an ethical question which has never been completely addressed by the
State of Israel which needs to be discussed in this essay. It’s my
interpretation that if Israel feels a right to have rulership over the land but
does not make Palestinians’ Israeli citizens or permit them to be citizens of a
new nation named Palestine, Israel has a problematic issue to resolve.
It appears to some people in western democracies feel that
Palestinians are being treated as second-class
citizens with no right to vote while at the same time Israel claims legal and
security authority over part of the land of the West Bank. Consistent ethnics
would give Israel responsibilities over both the people as well as the land.
The status quo continues this inconsistency. If Israel were an authoritarian
state “where might makes right” and
ethics be damned rather than remaining as a democracy and a country of laws,
then the morality of majority rules resulting in who has sovereignty over the West Bank might recede in importance?
The whole basis for negotiations over the past twenty years
has been the goal of there ultimately being a two-state solution with one
nation remaining as Israel and the second new nation being called Palestine. So
in effect with a significant population of Palestinian Arabs who are mostly
Muslim, there is a strong desire to build an independent nation. With the birth
rate of Palestinian Arabs growing at a higher rate than the Jews of Israel’s, the
demographic factor presents another challenge and a new existential threat to
Israel. What if both Israel and Palestinian Arabs one day said, “We no longer
want a country of our own. We want to join with Israel and be once nation where
all Arabs inside of Greater Israel would have the same rights as Jews.”
Keeping this one-state hypothetical solution in mind, the
nation of Israel in a newly configured democracy might be renamed
Israel-Palestine and would demographically be approximately 50% Jewish and 50%
Arab and Muslim. Thus Israel, would no longer be a country with a Jewish
majority. So if Israel can find a way of extracting itself from all or most of
the West Bank, a permanent peace could be achieved with Palestine which
constitutes the West Bank. At some time in the future, perhaps somehow a peace
can be achieved with Gaza and Hamas to join the new Palestinian nation?
Thus, a negotiated peace is easier said than done. I won’t try to negotiate with both parties
nor advocate who is right and who is wrong. I simply feel that now that
Israel’s existential right to exist is not under the immediate military threat
that it once was. Now or sometime soon is the time to take an opportunity for
Israel to try to take bold action to try to find a final peace with the
Palestinian leadership. If the center-right led by the Likud and its partners with
Netanyahu as the leader cannot do the job, perhaps the center-left lead by Labor,
Herzog and Livni should be given an opportunity?
The Middle East is ablaze in war in Iraq, Syria, Libya and
Yemen with non-nation terrorists, ISIS and al-Qaeda, both fielding armies with
Persian Iran directly opposing these terrorists especially through its support
of its alliance with the Hezbollah militia. To further add to the confusion,
the West considers Hezbollah to also be a terrorist group. It may sound
counter-intuitive to some. However, I believe that now is the time for Israel
to make a concerted effort to achieve a final peace with the Palestinian
Authority even though previous and recent attempts have exhausted both parties.
And now, I will tell you why?
The negotiating tactics on both sides with the United States
as an intermediary have been discussed for some time and already written at
great length by other experts on all sides of this issue. There is nothing new
I could add to enhance the political negotiations. However, I can think of
economic and diplomatic incentives which might create advantages to both sides
and might readily bring the newly created Palestinian State and its neighbor, Israel,
into agreement with a permanent peace and create a template for others to
follow.
For starters, there are unexploited reservoirs of natural
gas and oil off the shore of the Gaza Strip. If Israel, Egypt, the Arab League,
United States, the Palestinian Authority and perhaps the Russians, the European
Union and the big oil companies could provide assistance in developing the
extraction of these natural resources, the funds generated if spent wisely
could be used to rebuild war-torn Gaza and provide economic aid to businesses
and individuals in the West Bank and Palestinian communities throughout the
Middle East.
Secondly in terms of water management and sewage treatment
systems, Israel is a world leader in conservation, processing of waste water and
desalinization. Each year, a greater and greater percentage of Israel’s water
supply comes from water than was once brackish sea water and now is now used
for agriculture to grow crops. So if there is a continuation of regional draught,
Israel is ready, even more-so than its neighbors, to meet these kinds of
challenges.
Thirdly, Israel is also a world leader when it comes to its
information technology (IT) sector as well as desert farming through its drip
irrigation method which allows an economical use of water in growing crops on
the edge of the Negev desert. In 1975-76 when I visited Israel for ten days, I
witnessed this miracle of modern technology and farming. Imagine if Israel
could share this technology with its neighbors?
If all interested parties including the Palestinians (West
Bank & Gaza) and Israel can agree to a permanent peace and stop all forms
of warfare, I think that loans and grants coming from wealthy post-industrialized
nations and some of the wealthier Arab nations would be considered a good Middle
East investment. Israel would be more
than willing to share its technology with Palestine, Jordan and other Arab
nations. Down the road, the twenty-two existing nations which comprise the Arab
League and the newly created State of Palestine along with Israel could create
their own economic trading block to rival the United States, the European Union,
Russia, China and Japan. This trading block would allow Israel to share its
technology prowess with its Arab neighbors which would remarkably bring
together 4,000 years’ of history to the biblical descendants of the children of
Abraham, Sarah and Hagar who are the patriarch and matriarchs of Christianity,
Islam and Judaism. When you think about it regarding people of monotheistic
faiths, we’re all cousins.
In conclusion of this section, let me state the following
why I think an economic alliance between Arabs and Israel is possible. George
Bernard Shaw and Robert F. Kennedy on different occasions both once said, “You see things that are and say, “Why?”” I
dream things that never were and say, ‘Why not?” Not too long ago, I
thought that the Palestinian-Israel conflict was not the key to what’s
going wrong in the Middle East and surrounding lands. I told myself, “The
Middle East has far too many problems. The crucial differences are not just
between Arab nations and Israel”.
However, after some deliberation, I’ve decided to walk-back this thinking and I can see it
being a template for peace to extend throughout the Arab and Muslim world and
with Israel. With a Middle East Common Market, the problems caused by Syrian
immigration mass exodus causing collateral instability to European nations, a
plethora of other problems in the Arab world and the United Kingdom’s hasty and
ill-advised vote to leave the European Union might be relieved and eventually
be reversed? So in my way of thinking, dreaming positive and progressive
thoughts as well acting to heal this part of the world is a good thing.
My change of thinking reveals the possibility and the importance
of a historical event in the Middle East which could trigger a wave of positive
events. I am thinking of positive events which can change people’s mind-set as
well as bring peace and prosperity not only to the Middle East but also to be of
great value to the world. Therefore, in borrowing
the words of the late Baseball Hall of Fame manager, Casey Stengel, I see the
possibility of a “team effort” among
allies and, perhaps, adversaries which can help heal the world.
I am sixty-one years old. With recent deaths of cherished
members of my family who were in their late eighties and early nineties and
thinking about my future, it’s important for me to see a way where we can help
make the world a better place it was when I leave it than when I was born and
came into it. We owe it to our children and future grandchildren to make efforts
to make the United States and other nations a kinder, gentler and more
prosperous reality.
(M.2.) Concluding
Thoughts - Part II:
If my readers may be frustrated because it feels like in the
multi-polar world we live in, it all seems so disorderly and on the verge of falling
apart in concluding this essay, I will try to assuage the concerns of all. Please
don’t be too discouraged. We have arrived at this place in history because we
all played a role. If we got into it the current situation, we can get out of
it.
Digitalization has brought the world closer together.
However, at the same time in many countries people have coalesced into tribal-way
of thinking, it seems that in Europe, Asia and Africa, some countries are in
the verge of splitting in two or three. The people in these nations feel that
they are losing out in the competition for global trade. The easy answers are
creating tariffs on foreign trade and/or building a wall to keep undesirables
out.
Perhaps part of the problem is that in the economics of
today’s world, events have moved at such rapid pace and adversely affected
displaced workers? Part of the remedy lies somewhere with government programs
providing job retraining, housing, health care and income assistance in order to
help displaced workers to sustain their families and as individuals?
After all the United Kingdom has been through between WWI
& II and the Cold War as America’s and Europe’s reliable ally in combat and
in commerce, through NATO and its role in international finance and trade, its
participation as a member of the European Union was (and is) a great
achievement in European and in world history. The US, UK and the EU are a
source for prosperity and a validation that the economic system in the West is
worth continuing. Free-market capitalism modified with social programs was (and
is) the right model as compared to the communist system which threatened to
overwhelm Europe for forty-five years.
What will happen to the United Kingdom? Will it determine
that a hastily arranged plebiscite should be put aside until a later time and
reaffirm that it will remain in the world’s largest trading block? The EU’s combined
gross domestic product (GDP) is nearly as great as the United States. Will the UK instead devolve with Scotland,
Wales and Northern Ireland as well as England reaching separate trading
arrangements with the EU? Will other nations within Europe also decide to split
apart? For example, Catalonia will be holding a vote to determine if it should
leave or remain as part of Spain in the future? Democracies do not always
proceed on a straightforward progressive path. I hope Europe stays united. With
unity, there is strength and a chance to ensure greater prosperity for all.
We should be thankful that we live in the nation that we do.
We eliminated the possibility of America’s disunion forever one hundred fifty-one
years ago when the civil war ended. Thank G-d for Lincoln’s political
leadership and the efforts of his fighting generals Grant, Sheridan and Sherman.
In the succeeding years, it has not always been pleasant for
many people living in America. We still have disharmony and unfinished political,
economic and social issues to work through. But, we have the means to improve
the United States if we are unified. In addition, if we plan ahead and pull
together in terms of an overall purpose whereby we improve our country and grow
our economy, I am optimistic for America’s future. Throughout this process, we
need to create greater incentives for equity, opportunity and justice as well
as expand and strengthen the middle class to include those Americans who need a
leg-up and not just a hand-out.
This essay aligns American domestic policy with foreign
affairs because it’s all connected. We live in an interdependent world. It was
said by one esteemed commentator , Oliver Wendell Homes a United States Supreme
Court Justice, in an objective appraisal
mixed with a little bit of humor said that perhaps one of our greatest
Presidents, Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR), had “A second rate intellect and a first rate temperament”. At this
crucial time in American history we need cool calm FDR-like leadership reflecting
our nation’s overall disposition not just at the Presidential-level but also among
other leaders as well as men and women in all-walks-of-like. We need to sort
things out, make smart decisions on policies and programs as well as rationally
and cohesively move forward together as a nation.
No comments:
Post a Comment